Penn State
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 89.9054Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 905 H Marshall ( 5- 3, 80.3) 45- 0 912 A Temple ( 2- 6, 76.9) 27- 9 919 H Buffalo ( 5- 3, 82.0) 55- 13 926 H Wisconsin ( 5- 3, 91.4) 20- 24 1002 A Northwestern ( 6- 2, 92.8) 13- 34 1010 H USC ( 7- 2, 92.7) 23- 31 1017 A Michigan ( 5- 3, 88.3) 18- 21 1031 H Purdue ( 3- 5, 86.4) 31- 17 1107 A Washington ( 5- 3, 88.4) 1114 H Minnesota ( 4- 4, 85.1) 1121 H Rutgers ( 2- 6, 78.2) 1128 A Maryland ( 2- 6, 81.8)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
905 H Marshall 45- 0 45 13 + 2.15
912 A Temple 27- 9 18 10 ++ 5.17
919 H Buffalo 55-13 42 11 + 3.91
926 H Wisconsin 20-24 -4 2 -- -5.70
1002 A Northwestern 13-34 -21 -6 --- -8.88
1010 H USC 23-31 -8 0 --- -8.40
1017 A Michigan 18-21 -3 -2 -1.45
1031 H Purdue 31-17 14 7 +++ 7.28
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1002 A Northwestern 13-34 -21 -6 --- -8.88 1010 H USC 23-31 -8 0 --- -8.40 926 H Wisconsin 20-24 -4 2 -- -5.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1031 H Purdue 31-17 14 7 +++ 7.28 912 A Temple 27- 9 18 10 ++ 5.17 905 H Marshall 45- 0 45 13 + 2.15 919 H Buffalo 55-13 42 11 + 3.91 |
Penn State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| California | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Florida St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Georgia Tech | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| No. Carolina | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| NC State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Pittsburgh | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| SMU | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Stanford | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Syracuse | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Virginia | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Va. Tech | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wake Forest | |
| Army | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Charlotte | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Ea. Carolina | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Fl. Atlantic | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Memphis | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Navy | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| No. Texas | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Rice | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| So. Florida | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Temple | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Tulane | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Tulsa | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| UAB | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| UTSA | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Colorado | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Kansas | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Kansas St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We. Virginia | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Illinois | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Maryland | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Penn State | |
| Minnesota | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ohio State | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Purdue | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Rutgers | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Penn State | |
| UCLA | UCLA | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | UCLA | |
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Int | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| J'ville St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Kennesaw St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| La. Tech | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Mid. Tenn. | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| N. Mexico St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Sam Houston | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| UTEP | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| We. Kentucky | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Mass. | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Akron | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Ball State | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Bowl'g Green | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Buffalo | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Ce. Michigan | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Ea. Michigan | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Kent St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Miami (OH) | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| No. Illinois | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Ohio | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Toledo | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| We. Michigan | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Air Force | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | ||
| Colorado St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Fresno St | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Hawai'i | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Nevada | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| New Mexico | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| San Diego St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| San Jose St | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| UNLV | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Utah St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Wyoming | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Oregon St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Wash. St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Auburn | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss. St | Miss. St | Miss. St | ||
| Oklahoma | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So. Carolina | So. Carolina | So. Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Vanderbilt | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| App State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Arkansas St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Coastal Car. | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Georgia So. | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Georgia St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| J. Madison | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Louisiana | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Marshall | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Old Dominion | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| So. Miss | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| So. Alabama | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Texas St. | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Troy | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| UL Monroe | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Delaware | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Missouri St | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State |
PowerWise = 100
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.15
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 H Marshall ( 5- 3, 80.3) 45- 0 -19.65 13.59 -3.20 1.02 21.18
1 A Temple ( 2- 6, 76.9) 27- 9 -23.02 10.22 3.20 1.02 27.33
1 H Buffalo ( 5- 3, 82.0) 55-13 -17.89 15.35 -3.20 1.02 24.75
1 H Wisconsin ( 5- 3, 91.4) 20-24 -8.49 24.75 -3.20 1.02 -5.95
1 A Northwestern ( 6- 2, 92.8) 13-34 -7.07 26.17 3.20 1.02 -1.97
1 H USC ( 7- 2, 92.7) 23-31 -7.20 26.04 -3.20 1.02 -5.29
1 A Michigan ( 5- 3, 88.3) 18-21 -11.64 21.60 3.20 1.02 -4.30
1 H Purdue ( 3- 5, 86.4) 31-17 -13.52 19.72 -3.20 1.02 33.65
------
89.40
|
winning pts = 106.9140 losing points = -17.5189
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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